Last time, we tracked the year-by-year data, testing the proposition that most of the Court’s cases are sufficiently “close calls” to have brought a dissent at the Appellate Court.  This week, we’re testing another proposition – does dissent at the Appellate Court suggest that there’s going to be one or more dissenters at the Supreme

9684642673_175bcdc7dd_zYesterday, we addressed the Illinois Supreme Court’s rate of dissent in civil cases since 2000. But a 6-1 decision counts as not being unanimous – how many of these cases saw a closely divided Court?

The Court’s percentage of closely divided cases – decisions with two or three dissenting Justices – has remained relatively constant

9721237619_1c160e640e_zLast week, we addressed the issue of the lag time between argument and decision as a predictor of whether the Court’s decision will be unanimous. This week, we address the Court’s dissent rate.

Many scholars (and quite a few judges) have argued that an appellate court’s dissent rate does not necessarily reflect how often the