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Today, we turn our analysis of the Illinois Supreme Court’s oral arguments between 2008 and 2016 to a new question: how likely is it that the Justice who asks the first question in a civil case is writing an opinion?

In Table 433 below, we report the percentage of instances in civil cases in which

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Yesterday, we compared the average level of questioning in civil cases since 2008 for winning and losing appellants, and winning and losing appellees, year by year, showing that in nearly every year, losing parties averaged more questions than winners.  Then we calculated the odds of winning, based upon the comparison between how many questions you

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All appellate specialists, without exception, prefer a “hot bench” at oral argument.  The sole reason for you to be there is to find out what, if anything, is troubling the Court about your case, and try to answer their concerns.  But the paradox of a hot bench is this: as I told an interviewer a

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Yesterday, we looked for evidence that questioning at oral argument is driven by a desire to persuade a Justice’s colleagues by comparing the average questions to each side in non-unanimous versus unanimous decisions on the civil docket. Today, we repeat the comparison, looking at the Court’s criminal cases between 2008 and 2015. On the criminal

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Yesterday, we analyzed the agreement rates between all combinations of the Justices in non-unanimous civil cases between 2005 and 2009.  Today, we turn our attention to the Court’s criminal docket during the same years.

We report the data for Chief Justice McMorrow, Justice Burke and Justice Garman in Table 404 below.  Chief Justice McMorrow’s closest