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Last week, we reviewed the academic literature studying oral argument analytics, and then compared the data for civil and criminal cases, both affirmances and reversals, to the outcome of those earlier studies.  This week, we’re digging deeper on that work.  For last week’s comparison, we aggregated outright reversals and split decisions: “affirmed in part, reversed in part.”  Now let’s disaggregate – compare outright reversals to split decisions.
Continue Reading Can You Predict a Split Decision in Civil Cases at the Illinois Supreme Court After Oral Argument?

Last time, we surveyed the academic research applying analytics techniques to appellate oral arguments and then reviewed the data for civil arguments at the Supreme Court since 2008.  In this post, we’re reviewing the data for the same period on the criminal side of the docket.
Continue Reading Can a Winner Be Predicted In Illinois Supreme Court Criminal Case Oral Arguments?

Today, we begin a new subject in our ongoing analytics study of the Court’s decision making – oral arguments.  Although the academic community has been producing analytics studies of appellate decision making for a century, the analytics study of oral arguments is a much more recent development.
Continue Reading Can a Winner Be Predicted In Illinois Supreme Court Civil Case Oral Arguments?

Justice Theis has participated in 20 domestic relations cases since joining the Court.  She has voted for defendants in nine of those cases and for plaintiffs 11 times.  Between 2011 and 2015, she supported defendants in seven of fifteen cases.  From 2016 to 2019, she voted for defendants in two of five cases.
Continue Reading How Have Justices Theis and Neville Voted in Domestic Relations Cases?

Chief Justice Burke has participated in 33 domestic relations cases.  She has voted for defendants’ position in 14 cases and against defendants 19 times.  From 2007 to 2009, she voted for defendants in three of nine cases.  From 2010 to 2014, she voted for defendants in seven of fifteen cases.  From 2015 to 2019, she voted for defendants in four of nine cases.
Continue Reading How Has Chief Justice Burke Voted in Domestic Relations Cases?

Justice Kilbride has participated in 54 domestic relations cases since joining the Court, voting for defendants in 22 cases and against in 32.  From 2001 to 2005, he voted for defendants in nine of eighteen cases.  From 2006 to 2010, he voted for defendants in only four of fourteen cases.  From 2011 to 2015, he voted for defendants in six of seventeen cases.  From 2016 to 2019, he voted for defendants in three of five cases.
Continue Reading How Has Justice Kilbride Voted in Domestic Relations Cases?